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Hind Rajab was killed in February 2024. Israeli troops bulldozed 15 paramedics into a mass grave in March 2025. The military opened its first criminal investigations 19 months later. The ICC that would examine these cases is being dismantled. Two weeks apart.
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Analysis
MBS has said three times in public: if Iran gets a nuclear weapon, Saudi Arabia will too. The Iran war was supposed to prevent that condition. The MOU collapsed without a nuclear deal. Trump signed a civilian nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia. The door may be open.
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Analysis
MBS has said three times in public: if Iran gets a nuclear weapon, Saudi Arabia will too. The Iran war was supposed to prevent that condition. The MOU collapsed without a nuclear deal. Trump signed a civilian nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia. The door may be open.
7 min read
Analysis
The Islamabad Memorandum's 60-day deadline expired August 17 without a nuclear deal. Iran spent those 60 days giving the IRGC greater military control and accelerating missile production. Trump called for surrender. Iran promised strategic surprises. The pause was not symmetric.
Analysis
Lebanon abolished the death penalty on August 11, the first in the Middle East. The same parliament cannot enforce Israeli withdrawal from its south or prosecute the Beirut port explosion. The moral ambition and the institutional failure live in the same building.
Analysis
Hamas committed to implementing Trump's 15-point Gaza plan. Netanyahu rejected it at a cabinet meeting, by name, on the record. The White House said nothing. The obstacle to peace in Gaza is not where the established narrative has always said it was.
Analysis
Trump refused Ukraine 300 Patriot interceptors because the Iran war used them up. Ukraine intercepted none of the incoming Russian missiles that night. 17 died in Kyiv. The Iran war has not just given Putin diplomatic relief. It has given him the airspace.
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