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Forty-seven dead in Lebanon as a new ceasefire was due to begin. Israel never signed the Islamabad Memorandum's Lebanon clause and says it isn't bound by it. Vance cancelled his trip to Switzerland. Israel didn't break a promise this week, because it never made one.
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Analysis
Trump’s war had four objectives: destroy Iran’s missiles, annihilate its navy, sever its proxies, prevent a nuclear weapon. The MOU addresses none of them. Iran’s government stands. The IRGC operates. 440 kilograms of enriched uranium remain in a mountain.
6 min read
Analysis
Trump’s war had four objectives: destroy Iran’s missiles, annihilate its navy, sever its proxies, prevent a nuclear weapon. The MOU addresses none of them. Iran’s government stands. The IRGC operates. 440 kilograms of enriched uranium remain in a mountain.
6 min read
Analysis
"Ships of the World, start your engines," Trump wrote as he announced the Iran deal. By morning, Israel's Defence Minister said the IDF stays in Lebanon without time limit. The Gaza ceasefire lasted 57 days. The Board of Peace held one meeting. The pattern has a name.
Analysis
The gap between Nawaf Salam’s credentials and his actual authority is not personal failure. It is built into the Taif Agreement, compounded by three decades of institutional underfunding and the armed realities of 2026.
Analysis
Iran’s national football team landed in Tijuana on Sunday and plays in Los Angeles on June 15. The United States and Iran have been at war since February. The visa decisions, the commercial logic of FIFA and the July 3 scenario reveal what American global power actually is.
Analysis
Trump confirmed he called Netanyahu ‘fucking crazy.’ The IDF chief said there is no ceasefire for Israeli forces. Netanyahu continued operations as planned. The US has decided it cannot afford to discipline its ally — and Israel’s far right has built its strategy on that knowledge.
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