Analysis

The 1.5 Degree Funeral

COP31 opened in Antalya with Turkey’s environment minister Murat Kurum, presiding as conference president, declaring the 1.5-degree Celsius target ‘clear beyond a reasonable doubt’ to be overshot. Climate scientists have been saying this for years.

Nov 12, 2026 8 min read

Analysis

The Doctrine The War Built

A war whose stated objective was to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon, has led to discussions about revising the country's nuclear doctrine. The war that was started to prevent this debate has, produced the strongest internal argument for it.

Analysis

What Munir Knows

Pakistan's army chief went to Tehran twice in October. The first time, he came back empty-handed. The second time, he brought Saudi Arabia and Turkey. Saudi Arabia and Iran issuing a joint statement on regional security in Tehran — is the most significant diplomatic development of the war.

Analysis

Qeshm: What the US Strikes the Night Before the Election Were Actually Doing

The US struck Qeshm Island the night before the congressional elections and called it defensive. The trigger was real — an Iranian surface-to-air missile. But the target is an IRGC naval base and underground missile facility at the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz.

United Nations

The Orban Doctrine

Washington, Moscow and Beijing have blocked each other in the Security Council for four years. The Wall Street Journal says they’ve agreed on Viktor Orban for UN Secretary-General. The story isn’t Orban. It’s the consensus.

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